Meta Strategy Trading Portfolio – Probability Map Update.
One-Eighty
Destructive tariff policies are being rolled back to more tolerable levels, while the Trump administration looks to be pivoting from austerity to broad fiscal stimulus.
This policy flip-flop led to one of the fastest, large-scale recoveries for stocks in history.
Multiple rapid changes that lean towards highly unexpected, unlikely policy actions lead to a difficult trading environment whipsawing trades in both directions.
Data-based signals remain mixed and I see no trading edge currently, until a potential 5%+ pullback aligns several conditions that currently oppose each other.
