Meta Strategy Trading Portfolio – Probability Map Update.

An obvious window of weakness!

Everyone who keeps an eye on markets knows that the coming week is destined to be the weakest of the year according to the seasonal return calendar.

Unfortunately, the word obvious doesn’t jibe well with a reflexive, uncertain market.

If everyone knows something is very likely to happen, aren’t they all going to try to get out in front of it?

Or are investors going to react to the first signs of weakness and keep up the selling pressure, thereby creating a self-fulfilling feedback loop?