Meta Strategy Trading Portfolio – Probability Map Update.

How to trade a recession?

The US economy is going to slip into a deep recession in 2023 with high (and steadily rising) probability.

But, at the same time we can say with confidence that we are not in a recession at the current moment.

Can we take advantage of these facts, if we take past US recessions as guidance?

The current relief rally provides a high probability entry with very good reward / risk to short the market for my main scenario.