Meta Strategy Trading Portfolio – Probability Map Update.

– Wednesday Update: FOMC Reversal –

Capitulation or Shrug?

The S&P has formed a (temporary) bottom by breaking above 3800, which is likely to be the basis for an advance that will be with with us over the next couple of weeks.

FOMO will start to take over as the year draws to a close, because few professional investors can afford to be caught out missing another strong rally in a year of miserable performance.

However, if this is accompanied by a lack of hedging, it puts the market in a fragile state that is vulnerable to a potential tail event in 2023.