Probability Map August 22

Meta Strategy Derivatives Portfolio – Probability Map Update.

– Update Tuesday –

OpEx Cycle

The interval from Vixperation to OpEx remains a consistently weak period.

For my longer swing-trading time frame, I pay more attention to the tendency that big options expirations often mark the beginning of large directional moves, as well as turning points in the market.

Monitoring social media, it is palpable that sentiment can pivot on a dime at any moment.

A relatively small catalyst has the potential to trigger a run for the exit, as a cautious stance remains deeply ingrained with many traders.

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