Meta Strategy Derivatives Portfolio – Probability Map Update.
Slow and Steady
Three steps forward, two and a half steps back — that’s what a classic bear-market rally looks like.
Rather than seeing a deep, recessionary bear market as the only path, I prefer to keep an open mind for a wide variation of possible outcomes in the current, unpredictable situation.
On the next leg down, I will monitor closely in which direction the probabilities between our three main scenarios are shifting.