Meta Strategy Derivatives Portfolio – Probability Map Update.
— Thursday Positioning Update —
Correction or Worse?
Triggered by fears of an extremely hawkish FED pivot after a surprisingly high US inflation number, followed by heightened Russia / Ukraine tensions, the way has now opened up for the low retest our model portfolio is positioned for.
The big question, however, is: What comes next?
Precisely because they are so extremely emotional, strong corrections are exceptional opportunities for long positions during a bull market, but buying into a crashing market is difficult and dangerous.
My main scenario is a volatile bottom followed by a strong market recovery.