Meta Strategy Trading Portfolio – Probability Map Update.
– Positioning Update Wednesday –
In the Grey Zone
Sentiment has shown distinct improvement due to last week’s strong rally that accelerated after Trump’s TACO Tuesday and the S&P reached my main target zone.
Market participants are already mentally replaying a repeat performance of last April, but such a V-shaped recovery is an exception, not the rule.
Looking at historic correction price patterns, I anticipate sudden downside volatility over the next weeks with roughly 75% probability.
Overall, I have reached net zero exposure to stocks across my entire investment and trading capital.
It is an immense advantage to realize that nobody knows anything about the near-term path of the current market and reducing risk to protect capital remains priority #1!
