Meta Strategy Trading Portfolio – Probability Map Update.

Building the Big Picture Outlook for 2026

Part IV) Market Liquidity

Financial conditions and market studies confirm a picture of ample liquidity and accommodative policy, in case trouble appears, over the coming months.

Not only has the FED re-started its interest-rate cutting cycle, but has begun supplying additional liquidity via a new “QE, but not-QE” easing program that buys U.S. treasuries.

A cornerstone data point for my long-term outlook is the S&P forward return chart after the first rate cut: Cuts tend to be supportive for the stock market over the next two years, if the cutting cycle wasn’t triggered by a recession.

Markets run on liquidity and only when the fuel runs out will gravity finally take over.

This report synthesizes my Outlook 2026 series into a concise roadmap.