Meta Strategy Trading Portfolio – Probability Map Update.

Make or Break Week for Bears

This coming week faces the highest probability for a bearish breakdown in the second half of 2025.

An accumulation of red flags battles with runaway momentum:

* Peak seasonal weakness
* Volatility up / Market up dynamic
* Record quarterly OpEx
* Extremely overbought conditions
* Momentum / RSI divergences
* JPM strike SPX 6505 magnet

This setup marks this week as a last stance for frustrated bears: If weakness fails to show up, year-end melt-up probabilities are rapidly rising.