Meta Strategy Trading Portfolio – Probability Map Update.

OpEx Seasonality

In the context of positive influences on equities from momentum, market breadth, and breadth thrusts supported by sentiment, positioning, and fundamentals pivoting from pessimism to a positive note, markets are facing a minor window of potential weakness after a major monthly options’ expiration last Friday.

In the past, such major expirations have repeatedly marked important turning points for stocks.

However, I am more inclined to give seasonal tendencies the benefit of the doubt and expect temporary weakness driven by geopolitical events in the first half of this week, before the second strongest two-week period of the year begins.