Meta Strategy Trading Portfolio – Probability Map Update.

Significant New Highs!

Of course, last week’s breakout could turn out to be a trap, but stocks are advancing above a significant bull / bear watershed.

Prevailing skepticism gives the nascent bull market the potential to keep advancing for quite a while.

I will keep adjusting my blueprint for the months to come as the path of the rate hike cycle unfolds.

My basic expectation for the most probable path for stocks boils down to the following key pivots:

FED Pause = Stocks Up
First Rate Cut = Stocks Down
Last Rate Cut = Stocks Up