Meta Strategy Trading Portfolio – Probability Map Update.
FED Pause vs FED Cuts.
Zooming out to analyze the uncertain path of the current economic cycle.
It hinges on a complex interplay between inflation, interest rates and the economy’s resilience.
The path of the FED’s interest rate policy is uncommonly clear: We are likely to have reached an interest rate plateau, which is usually followed by rate cuts.
It is important to differentiate between these stages, as well as view today’s cycle as conditional to a high inflation environment.