Meta Strategy Trading Portfolio – Probability Map Update.
– Wednesday (close): positioning update –
A Whole Lot of Nothing.
Equities remain in essentially the same place they were last week:
No crash – No rally.
The S&P is range bound, which is quite astonishing in light of the super-negative economic outlook amid one of the steepest US rate hiking cycles in history, and an ongoing banking crisis.
The longer this relative stability holds, the more likely it becomes that the general tendency for stocks to rise establishes itself.
It may come down to something as simple as a seasonal tailwind, which is maximally positive for the next two months – if systemic risks remain under control.