Trading Portfolio February 20

Meta Strategy Trading Portfolio – Probability Map Update.

Traders are being played!

Unless one bets on intra-day mean-reversion, traders are being played by the countless reversals in this ping-pong market.

Since the FOMC decision, we saw multiple 1%-2% reversals before Friday’s feeble attempt to break the market’s range to the downside.

This is typical for a stock market stuck at a crossroads between two major market regimes.

How decisively currently missing support from the options market manages to impact stock prices will be the key thing to watch over the next week.

It remains a tug-of-war between positive technical indications and a negative fundamental outlook, and so far the tendency is for the market to remain stable.

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