Meta Strategy Trading Portfolio – Probability Map Update.
Everybody Pivots Bullish!
It is never easy, is it? Despite a plethora of fundamental indicators triggering a recession warning, technical indicators increasingly paint the opposite picture.
So, which side will turn out to be right? As is the nature of the game, we will only be able to tell in hindsight, whether we are witnessing a regime change or whether we see an uncommonly large rally before the next shoe drops due to a delayed recession.
Rather than choosing one side, I fall back to my Meta Strategy model to systematically define a market regime and trade accordingly.