Probability Map September 7th

Meta Strategy Derivatives Portfolio – Probability Map Update.

Today’s report looks closely at the current equity pullback which brings stocks back into play in a big way.

The anticipated drop leads to gains on the short side and activates a new trading setup.
Short volatility exposure is back on the table after a long pause with an opportunity in the unusual VIX futures curve going into the US election.

As usual I map my current data-driven estimate of the probabilities for future returns of the S&P 500 over the short-, medium- and long-term.

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